What Comes after FED rate hikes , Answer is similar Decline of Corporate profits this is been proven , Below chart shows the relation between FED rates and Corporate profit.
The Fed Funds rate and the profits cycle generally correlated well, rising as profits surged and falling as profits decelerated, with the exception of the time immediately following the Global Financial Crisis. That historical link suggested that monetary policy was a good anchor for the expansion of the economy and of earnings.
There have been instances when the Fed increased rates in spite of the earnings cycle slowing down (i.e., 1989 or 2005). However, investors may encounter this very uncommon scenario if our projection for earnings growth proves accurate and the Fed keeps raising interest rates.
So what can be done?
As one might anticipate, defensive industries typically perform better. That’s particularly intriguing given that the present debate appears to be focused on whether to emphasize growth or cyclicals, with little reference to traditional defensive industries.
Defensive sector returns when Corporate profit declines:
|Sector||Average Annual Performance|
Here is our Stocks selections for Defensive stocks :
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